Socio-economic outcome area 14

Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people enjoy high levels of social and emotional wellbeing

TARGET 14

Significant and sustained reduction in suicide of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people towards zero

Dashboard snapshot: The data below are the most recent at the time of preparing the July 2021 report. Please go to the dashboard to access the current data.

In 2019, the suicide rate for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people was 27.1 per 100 000 people (for NSW, Queensland, WA, SA and the NT combined) (figure CtG14.1).

This is an increase from 24.9 per 100 000 people in 2018 (the baseline year).

Nationally, based on the most recent year of data, this target is not on track to be met.

Figure CtG14.1 displays the suicide rate for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people. The aim under Closing the Gap is to reduce the rate for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people towards zero. The 2019 baseline value is 24.9 per 100,000 people. There is no specified trajectory or expected timeline for achieving zero suicide. This is because there is no acceptable rate of suicide — today or at any other time. The figure and table show a number of indicative reduction trajectories to 2031: 
  * by 20 per cent reduction to 19.9 per 100,000 people 
  * by 25 per cent reduction to 18.7 per 100,000 people 
  * by 50 per cent reduction to 12.5 per 100,000 people 
  * by 75 per cent reduction to 6.2 per 100,000 people.

The assessment below reflects progress from the baseline year to the current year (ie improvement or otherwise in the rate). This differs to the national assessment against the trajectory (above), which compares the current year rate to the rate on the target trajectory at the same time period.The assessment indicates ‘worsening’ from the baseline year in the suicide rate for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people nationally. The required annual data by state and territory are not available (state and territory data are based on 5-year aggregates).

Target data specifications

Target 14: Significant and sustained reduction in suicide

Outcome:

Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people enjoy high levels of social and emotional wellbeing.

Target:

A significant and sustained reduction in suicide of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people towards zero.

There is no specified trajectory or expected timeline for achieving zero suicide. Four indicative reduction trajectories are presented for a 20 per cent, 25 per cent, 50 per cent, and 75 per cent reduction between the baseline year and target year.

Indicator:

Suicide death rate of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people.

Measure:

The measure is defined as:

Numerator — number of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander suicide deaths

Denominator — number of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people in the population

and is presented as an age-standardised rate per 100 000 people.

Target established:

National Agreement on Closing the Gap July 2020

Latest dashboard update:

23 June 2021

Indicator type:

Target

Interpretation of change:

A low or decreasing rate is desirable. A decrease from the baseline year is an improvement.

Data source(s):

Name (numerator): Causes of Death, Australia

Frequency: Annual

Name (denominator): Estimates and Projections for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population

Frequency: Annual (data revised on a five-yearly basis)

Documentation (links): https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/health/causes-death/causes-death-australia/

https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/aboriginal-and-torres-strait-islander-peoples/estimates-and-projections-aboriginal-and-torres-strait-islander-australians

Data provider:

Provider name: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Provider area: Causes of Death

Baseline year:

2018 (data revised in 2021)

Target year:

2031

Disaggregations:

Age-standardised rates for single years: Total (of available jurisdictions — NSW, Queensland, WA, SA and the NT only), by sex (Males, Females, Persons), by year.

Age-standardised rates for 5 years combined: state and territory (NSW, Queensland, WA, SA and the NT only) and Total (of available jurisdictions), by Indigenous status.

Computation:

Numerator divided by Denominator multiplied by 100 000

Counting rules

Numerator:

  • Deaths from intentional self-harm: includes ICD-10 codes X60-X84 and Y87.0.
  • Deaths are based on date of registration (not date of occurrence).
  • Deaths where the Indigenous status of the person is unknown or not stated are not included.
  • Rates for single year use single year deaths data. Rates for 5 years combined use the average of 5 years of deaths data.

Denominator:

Estimated population as at 30 June:

  • The Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population is calculated from Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population estimates and projections (series B).
  • The non-Indigenous population is calculated by subtracting the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population from the total population.
  • Rates for single year use single year population data. Rates for 5 years combined use the average of 5 years of population data.

Age-standardised rate:

Age-standardised rates are calculated using the direct method using 5-year age groups from 0–4 to 75 years and over, with the Australian standard population as at 30 June 2001.

Data quality considerations:

Reporting of rates is only for those jurisdictions which have adequate levels of Indigenous identification (NSW, Queensland, WA, SA and the NT in line with national reporting guidelines).

For jurisdictions, single year estimates are subject to volatility due to small numbers. Therefore, 5-year aggregates are provided for point-in-time comparisons for jurisdictions.

All causes of death data from 2006 onward are subject to a revisions process. Once data for a reference year are 'final', they are no longer revised. Affected data in this table are: 2017 and prior (final), 2018 (revised), and 2019 (preliminary). See the Data quality section of the methodology in the Causes of Death, Australia, 2019 publication and Causes of Death Revisions, 2017 Final Data (Technical Note) and 2018 Revised Data (Technical Note) in Causes of Death, Australia, 2019 (cat. no. 3303.0).

Coronial cases are more likely to be affected by a lag in registration time, especially those which are due to external causes, including suicide. Due to small numbers these lagged coroner-referred registrations can create large yearly variation in some causes of deaths of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander persons. Caution should be taken when making year to year analysis.

Caution should be taken when interpreting figures relating to intentional self-harm and when conducting time series analysis (due to changes in Indigenous identification and causes of death coding processes over time). See Causes of Death, Australia methodology (www.abs.gov.au/methodologies/causes-death-australia-methodology).

Data for Indigenous status are influenced by the quality of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander identification of people in the data collection, which is likely to differ across jurisdictions and over time. In 2019, there were 1362 deaths registered in Australia for whom Indigenous status was not stated, representing 0.8 per cent of all deaths registered.

Future reporting:

Additional disaggregations required for future reporting:

  • All states/territories (currently only available for NSW, Queensland, WA, SA and the NT)
  • Remoteness areas
  • Socioeconomic status of the locality
  • Gender
  • Age.

Supporting indicators

Driver

  • Non-fatal hospitalisations for intentional self-harm
  • Intentional self-harm mortality rate (suicide)
  • Hospitalisations for mental health-related disorders

Contextual information

  • Proportion of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people reporting experiencing psychological distress
  • Proportion of people reported experiencing one of more barriers accessing health services
  • Mental health-related disorders mortality rates
  • Proportion who report having experienced racism in the previous 12 months

The Productivity Commission acknowledges the Traditional Owners of Country throughout Australia and their continuing connection to land, waters and community. We pay our respects to Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Cultures, Country and Elders past and present.

Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people should be aware that this website may contain images, voices or names of people who have passed away.